{"id":1507,"date":"2026-10-31T17:18:38","date_gmt":"2026-10-31T17:18:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/flipthestates.com\/pages\/?p=1507"},"modified":"2026-11-02T17:30:14","modified_gmt":"2026-11-02T17:30:14","slug":"midterms-get-out-of-your-bubble-261031","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/flipthestates.com\/pages\/midterms-get-out-of-your-bubble-261031\/","title":{"rendered":"Midterms: Get Out of Your Bubble"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

There’s plenty of outrage so we aren’t going to do that. Instead, we’re creating a place with new tips, tools, insights, sources, and stories that can help us understand how to win this November.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\ud83c\udf0a\ud83c\udf0a\ud83c\udf0a<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

When Wall Street starts repositioning money for a Democratic Congress, you know the wave isn\u2019t just wishful thinking on our side \u2014 it\u2019s being priced into the market.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

CNBC reports<\/a>\u00a0that investors are actively preparing portfolios for Democratic gains as November 3rd approaches, a signal that lines up with where the data already points: Decision Desk HQ, Nate Silver\u2019s model, and prediction markets like Kalshi all put Democrats at 82 to 95 percent odds to retake the House, with the Senate a tighter but real opportunity in the 56 to 75 percent range. That\u2019s not a reason to relax \u2014 it\u2019s confirmation that our impact-score targeting is pointed at the right races, and that the money and energy we\u2019re putting against our highest-scoring seats is landing exactly where the forecasters and markets alike say the majority will actually be won or lost. The moment institutional money starts hedging for a result, the question stops being whether we can win and becomes whether we close strong enough in the districts that matter most.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\ud83d\udcb0\ud83d\udcb0\ud83d\udcb0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

ATTACK THE REPUBLICANS<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

We’re running ads against the most vulnerable Republicans in the country and it’s working! For as little as $300, we can reach 15,000 voters on social media. We only target in district Independents and frustrated Republicans with our ads on Instagram and Facebook and the comments prove they agree with our ads! We can take power together. Support our campaign now.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Donate to Flip the States, Support Our Work<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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\ud83d\ude24<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Elon Musk isn\u2019t just bankrolling Republican campaigns this cycle \u2014 he\u2019s trying to spend his way out of the accountability that\u2019s coming for him once the votes are counted.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In\u00a0Kara Swisher\u2019s newest episode, \u201cCan Elon Musk Buy His Way Out of a Reckoning?\u201d<\/a>, she brings on Washington Post reporter Faiz Siddiqui, author of \u201cHubris Maximus: The Shattering of Elon Musk,\u201d to unpack how Musk has poured nearly $500 Billion dollars into this year\u2019s midterms, with a significant chunk aimed at propping up Republicans in the Texas Senate race. That spending is colliding with a bipartisan problem of Musk\u2019s own making: lawmakers from both parties are calling for an investigation after he restricted Ukraine\u2019s access to Starlink, and Musk responded to Swisher\u2019s reporting by threatening her with jail time on X. That reaction is the tell \u2014 Musk is this aggressive about a Democratic Congress because he knows subpoena power would finally put real oversight on the infrastructure and influence he\u2019s built, and watching one billionaire buy outcomes with no one able to check him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\ud83e\udd11<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

While families are getting squeezed at the pump, 88 of the most profitable corporations in America paid nothing \u2014 zero \u2014 in federal income tax last year.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

ITEP\u2019s new report<\/a>\u00a0found those companies collectively earned more than $105 billion in U.S. profits in 2025 while contributing\u00a0nothing<\/em>\u00a0to the federal treasury, and more broadly, 706 profitable corporations paid an average effective tax rate of just 10.4 percent \u2014 the lowest ITEP has recorded in over 40 years of tracking this. ITEP senior fellow Matt Gardner calls it \u201ccorporate tax avoidance on steroids,\u201d and he\u2019s right: the 2017 and 2025 Trump tax cuts are the direct cause, handing corporations $198 billion in subsidies in a single year. Paired with what we\u2019re seeing at the gas pump, this is the fairness argument in miniature \u2014 Republicans keep telling working families there\u2019s no money for healthcare, childcare, or housing while shielding the biggest corporations in the country from paying anything at all.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\ud83d\udcb0\ud83d\udcb0\ud83d\udcb0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

ATTACK THE REPUBLICANS<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

We’re running ads against the most vulnerable Republicans in the country and it’s working! For as little as $300, we can reach 15,000 voters on social media. We only target in district Independents and frustrated Republicans with our ads on Instagram and Facebook and the comments prove they agree with our ads! We can take power together. Support our campaign now.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Donate to Flip the States, Support Our Work<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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\ud83d\ude2c<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump just said the quiet part out loud: high gas prices are good for him and his fellow oil investors.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the Iran war keeps oil markets on edge, ExxonMobil and Chevron posted blockbuster third-quarter profits while the national gas average hit $4.12 a gallon, and Trump \u2014 rather than distancing himself \u2014 bragged that American oil companies are \u201cmaking a freaking fortune.\u201d\u00a0Business Insider\u2019s reporting<\/a>puts a number on what that fortune has cost the rest of us: households have paid $1,184 more on average since the war began, just in gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. This is the kind of contrast that wins swing voters \u2014 not an abstract culture-war fight, but a president who owns oil stock bragging about profits while families pay more at the pump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\ud83e\udd2c<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A political group that doesn\u2019t exist mailed thousands of pamphlets into Texas households days before early voting opened.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Texas Observer reporter Steven Monacelli has been tracking the paper trail in real time<\/a>.<\/strong>\u00a0The \u201cTexas Transgender Student Union\u201d brochures were disowned immediately by the real transgender advocacy group whose name and mission they borrowed, and the return address traces to a Wyoming shell entity tied to an Illinois print shop whose owner has posed with Charlie Kirk and Donald Trump. The senders have since lawyered up with Ken Paxton\u2019s own attorney, which tells us this wasn\u2019t a prank \u2014 it was a deliberate attempt to manufacture outrage and drive conservative turnout in a race Republicans know is close. When the other side has to invent a boogeyman because their real message isn\u2019t landing, that\u2019s a tell.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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If you like what we’re doing, please share Flip the States with a friend and ask them to sign up so they get analysis and recommendations like these. If you love what we are doing, send us a donation<\/a> to help fund the work. We’re a registered 501c4 nonprofit and never take from donations that go directly to the candidates you choose to support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

There’s plenty of outrage so we aren’t going to do that. Instead, we’re creating a place with new tips, tools, insights, sources, and stories that can help us understand how to win this November. \ud83c\udf0a\ud83c\udf0a\ud83c\udf0a When Wall Street starts repositioning money for a Democratic Congress, you know the wave isn\u2019t just wishful thinking on our …<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1514,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41,43],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1507","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-2026-midterms","category-get-out-of-your-bubble"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/flipthestates.com\/pages\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1507","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/flipthestates.com\/pages\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/flipthestates.com\/pages\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/flipthestates.com\/pages\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/flipthestates.com\/pages\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1507"}],"version-history":[{"count":30,"href":"https:\/\/flipthestates.com\/pages\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1507\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1545,"href":"https:\/\/flipthestates.com\/pages\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1507\/revisions\/1545"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/flipthestates.com\/pages\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1514"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/flipthestates.com\/pages\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1507"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/flipthestates.com\/pages\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1507"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/flipthestates.com\/pages\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1507"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}