Let’s be honest and get the bad news out because you’re probably feeling sick like I am. It’s after Midnight ET and Harris is behind with only a perfect straight required to win the Blue Wall states of WI, PA and MI and it’s not looking good. The Senate is gone. The question now is only by how much there. The US House is the only thing that could offer some hope right now because there is a real chance that Democrats could still flip the majority in the US House. And we need all the hope we can get.
We named 6 House Races with high impact scores that were critical to Flip or Hold. Here’s what we know so far:
- FLIPPED NY-22: We rated NY-22 a 98 Impact Score and our #1 race opportunity to Flip the House from Republican and Democrat. Plus +1 seat to Dems!
- FLIPPED AL-2: With an Impact Score of 89, this new district in Alabama, thanks to a late but final ruling in 2023 by the Supreme Court, finally delivered a second majority-black district in AL to a win to Democrats. Plus +2 seats to Dems!
- Leaning Flip Dem OR-5: According to the New York Times (NYT), the Democrat Janelle Bynum is leading by 1.7% with a little over 50% of the vote in a race with had with an Impact Score of 93.
- Leaning Flip Dem CA-13: Democrat Adam Gray, in a race we ranked as a 95 Impact Score, is also leading by +3% with 38% of the vote in according to the NYT.
- Leaning Hold Dem CO-8: We ranked CO-8 our #2 Flip the House race with a 98 Impact Score and its proving true. Yadira Caraveo is leading by 1.8% with 66% in according to the NYT.
- Hold Dem NY-18: Clinched. This race has been called in a major win, with Dems Holding this seat. We ranked this district a 96 Impact Score and Dems showed up.
If our worst scenario comes true and Trump wins the Presidency and Republicans have taken the Senate, the US House will literally be the only thing standing in the way for Trumps most dangerous policies. We’ll continue to post updates on the House results and any coming recounts.
**Update: Dems Flip another seat. NY-19, a race we ranked at 95 Impact Score, just flipped with Josh Riley beating the incumbent Republican by 1.9%. Democrats have flipped 3 critical seats.
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