Midterms: Get Out of Your Bubble

There’s plenty of outrage so we aren’t going to do that. Instead, we’re creating a place with new tips, tools, insights, sources, and stories that can help us understand how to win this November.

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The tech bros have become comic book villains — but don’t mistake the spectacle for weakness.

Kara Swisher joins Tim Miller on The Bulwark to call out Bezos, Musk, and Andreessen as people who’ve figured out exactly how cheap it is to buy and manipulate our president. The good news is their electoral track record is already wobbling: in Tuesday’s California primaries, Silicon Valley’s hand-picked candidates cratered. Tech-backed San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan failed to crack the top five in the governor’s race, and startup founder Ethan Agarwal lost badly to Rep. Ro Khanna. As the SF Standard put it: “Sorry, Silicon Valley — it isn’t that easy to buy an election.” Big money and cultural buzz didn’t close the deal when voters showed up. Let’s keep it that way.

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The MAGA coalition isn’t breaking — but it’s softening, and in a midterm where turnout math rules, that’s an opening.

A new NBC News poll shows Trump’s strong approval among self-identified MAGA voters dropped 8 points since April — the largest single-group decline in the survey — while overall approval sits at 42%. This isn’t a collapse, and we shouldn’t treat it like one. The strategic signal is subtler and more valuable: the voters we need to flip and depress aren’t ideologues — they’re people who voted Republican because they believed it would deliver, and it hasn’t. Read more on where these voters are going. Stay home or flip, the math works either way. That’s the message we take into every competitive district on our list.

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The 60 Minutes firings aren’t just about Bari Weiss or 60 Minutes — it’s about who now owns the whole media empire.

You might be thinking the latest CBS firings and drama are a problem for Bari Weiss. You’d be wrong- she’s delivering exactly what she was hired for. The Ellison family installed Bari Weiss at CBS News to do one thing – get on Trump’s good side. That’s because the Ellison’s are pending regulatory approval to take over CNN, HBO, and Warner Bros Discovery, an unprecedented consolidation that prompted Pete Hegseth to say at a press conference: “The sooner David Ellison takes over CNN, the better.” The media scope of what’s being built is daunting and Nonprofit Quarterly details why. But don’t forget: only about 25% of voters are reachable through standard TV. The midterms’ moveable voters — the ones we need to win — aren’t watching CBS or cable news. They’re on YouTube, Instagram, and TikTok. We need to watch the media takeover but remember, the fight for the narrative isn’t happening at CBS. It’s happening in the feed.

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The voters who will decide this election — Hispanic men, suburban women, young people — are feeling the economic pain in their daily lives, and they’re talking about it on social media, not cable news panels.

The Berkshire Edge published one of the sharpest strategic analyses we’ve seen for 2026: a deep mapping of Bank of America Institute’s “jaws of the crocodile” data — middle-income suburban households now showing the kind of financial stress that used to be exclusive to lower-income families — onto the exact competitive districts where we can win. Hispanic men are getting squeezed by tariff-driven inflation on goods and wages. Suburban women are navigating healthcare uncertainty and rising property taxes. Young people are watching their economic futures get narrower in real time. These aren’t abstract policy stakes; they’re real economic pain. The candidates who speak to that reality — specifically, personally, and in the right channels — are the ones who will win.

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